Search results:

27 July 2020

House prices stop rising. But are they falling?

We now have data in hand showing that after an obvious collapse in real estate activity from late-March through to early-May, sales have since rebounded.

23 June 2020

Beyond 2020 | The next Housing Boom

After a short hiatus and a 5%-10% fall in house prices, I’m going out on a limb given the current market pessimism and predicting we will stretch into what might be the last great housing boom. Here's why.

21 February 2020

Mortgage rate and housing market forecast 2020

Interest rates are still low and the housing market seems to be thawing out after a slow 2019. That said, the latest uncertainty comes in the form of Coronavirus and what impact it could have on the economy. Here's a roundup of our views.

20 November 2019

Property and mortgage rate outlook for 2020

Auckland has come back to life after two years of lacklustre house sales and easing house prices. At the same time, the rest of New Zealand is taking a bit of a pause after a strong run of price appreciation.

06 December 2018

What’s up with Australian House Prices and what does it mean for NZ?

Sydney has had a decline of 9.50% in property prices since they peaked in July last year, and Melbourne is not far behind with a drop of 5.80%. Technically anything more than 5% is considered a crash, so are Australian house prices really crashing and should we be worried in New Zealand?

01 November 2018

The 12 month rate fix (part 2)

12 Month interest rates are at all time lows for New Zealand, however it may not be prudent to fix over that term. In part 1 we covered the OCR, inflation the connection between inflation and interest rates. Let's now talk about forward interest rates and current inflationary drivers in NZ.

24 October 2018

Auckland housing by the numbers

The Auckland market is in a state of flux. So, what is some of the data telling us about house prices?

28 August 2018

2019 Property forecast

It’s time to pull out the crystal ball and talk property prices. With house prices falling in Sydney (4.5% in the past year), the question is, will the same thing happen here? For this post I thought I’d develop a bottom-up ‘economic’ model.

28 August 2018

The fallacy that property prices double every 10 years

It’s convenient and lazy to show that for the past thirty years house prices have doubled every ten years, and even worse to extrapolate it out into the future. For those of you that like a few numbers, strap in as you’re about to exercise your brain, but I promise it’s worthwhile.

10 July 2017

Auckland house sales fall 30%

Auckland sales volumes are down 30% year-on-year and Barfoot & Thompson is saying that house prices have fallen back to the same level as a year ago.

06 March 2017

What to make of a softening Auckland housing market

January housing statistics were bleak, and Barfoot & Thompson’s results from February are not much better.

02 February 2017

Should young home buyers be looking to the regions?

For many of us, living in Auckland can be challenging. Sure, there's plenty to enjoy about our largest city, but that comes at a price - namely, the comparably high cost of living.